{"id":60375,"date":"2026-04-13T22:51:25","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T17:21:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/?p=60375"},"modified":"2026-04-13T22:51:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T17:21:28","slug":"anthropic-is-overstating-its-revenue-run-rate-by-8-billion-openai-tells-employees","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/anthropic-is-overstating-its-revenue-run-rate-by-8-billion-openai-tells-employees\/","title":{"rendered":"Anthropic Is Overstating Its Revenue Run Rate By $8 Billion, OpenAI Tells Employees"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After there had been widespread speculation that Anthropic had surpassed OpenAI in revenue, OpenAI had told employees that this might not be the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In an internal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theverge.com\/ai-artificial-intelligence\/911118\/openai-memo-cro-ai-competition-anthropic\">memo <\/a>sent to staff at the start of Q2, OpenAI Chief Revenue Officer Denise Dresser pushed back on Anthropic&#8217;s widely-cited $30 billion revenue run-rate, arguing that the figure is inflated by accounting choices that make Anthropic look bigger than it is. &#8220;Their stated run rate is inflated,&#8221; the memo reads. &#8220;They use accounting treatment that makes revenue look bigger than it is, including grossing up rev share with Amazon and Google.&#8221; OpenAI&#8217;s analysis, Dresser wrote, suggests this overstates Anthropic&#8217;s run rate by roughly $8 billion \u2014 bringing the real figure closer to $22 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"336\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MixCollage-26-Jun-2025-02-24-PM-3186.jpg?resize=640%2C336\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-53027\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MixCollage-26-Jun-2025-02-24-PM-3186.jpg?resize=1024%2C538&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MixCollage-26-Jun-2025-02-24-PM-3186.jpg?resize=300%2C158&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MixCollage-26-Jun-2025-02-24-PM-3186.jpg?resize=768%2C403&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/MixCollage-26-Jun-2025-02-24-PM-3186.jpg?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The argument has teeth. As <a href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/has-anthropics-30-billion-run-rate-passed-openais-it-depends-on-how-you-count\/\">analysts have previously noted<\/a>, Anthropic reports revenue from its cloud distribution partners \u2014 AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud \u2014 on a <strong>gross basis<\/strong>, booking the full amount billed through those channels, including the cloud providers&#8217; cut, as top-line revenue. OpenAI, by contrast, reports its Microsoft Azure revenue on a <strong>net basis<\/strong>, deducting the partner&#8217;s share before recognizing it. Both approaches are permissible under US GAAP. But they produce meaningfully different headlines for economically similar transactions. Dresser made precisely this point: &#8220;We report Microsoft revshare net, which is more in line with standards we would be held to as a public company.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The memo comes at a sensitive moment. <a href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/anthropic-to-have-more-us-businesses-as-customers-than-openai-in-next-couple-of-months-says-ramp-data\/\">Ramp data<\/a> tracking corporate payments across over 50,000 US businesses shows Anthropic closing fast on OpenAI in enterprise adoption \u2014 with some analysts projecting a customer-count crossover within months. Anthropic has also claimed 10x annual revenue growth versus OpenAI&#8217;s 3x, a trajectory that, if accurate on a comparable accounting basis, would represent a genuine competitive threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dresser&#8217;s memo doesn&#8217;t concede any of that ground. Beyond the revenue accounting critique, she laid out a broader case for why OpenAI should not be rattled by Anthropic&#8217;s rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On messaging, she argued that Anthropic&#8217;s brand is built on fear. &#8220;Their story is built on fear, restriction, and the idea that a small group of elites should control AI,&#8221; the memo states \u2014 an echo of criticisms <a href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/anthropic-has-a-pattern-of-using-fear-to-market-its-products-us-ai-czar-david-sacks\/\">US AI Czar David Sacks has also levelled at the company<\/a>. OpenAI&#8217;s &#8220;positive message,&#8221; she wrote, will win over time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On infrastructure, Dresser pointed to what she framed as a structural handicap: Anthropic&#8217;s decision not to secure enough compute early. &#8220;Their strategic misstep to not acquire enough compute is showing up in the product,&#8221; she wrote, claiming customers experience it through throttling, weaker availability, and unreliable uptime. OpenAI, she argued, saw the &#8220;exponential compute curve earlier, acted on it faster,&#8221; and now holds a durable structural advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On product breadth, Dresser took aim at Anthropic&#8217;s origins as a coding-focused company. That early wedge, she acknowledged, gave Anthropic an opening \u2014 but argued it becomes a liability as AI expands beyond developers into every team and workflow. &#8220;You do not want to be a single-product company in a platform war,&#8221; the memo states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The competitive notes were framed as a confidence-builder rather than a warning. Dresser&#8217;s broader message was that OpenAI&#8217;s biggest constraint heading into Q2 is not demand but capacity \u2014 and that the company has the compute, the products, and the customer momentum to extend its lead. Multi-year, nine-figure enterprise deals are rising, she wrote, and existing customers are expanding across OpenAI&#8217;s full stack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Whether the revenue accounting argument lands with the market remains to be seen. The gross-versus-net distinction is <a href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/has-anthropics-30-billion-run-rate-passed-openais-it-depends-on-how-you-count\/\">a real and documented difference<\/a> in how the two companies report, and it will matter enormously when both eventually file for IPO. But Anthropic&#8217;s enterprise momentum \u2014 across <a href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/anthropic-to-have-more-us-businesses-as-customers-than-openai-in-next-couple-of-months-says-ramp-data\/\">customer count, sector leadership, and spending growth<\/a> \u2014 is harder to dismiss with an accounting footnote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, the memo tells us something important: OpenAI is watching Anthropic closely enough to brief employees on its accounting methodology. That is not the posture of a company that thinks the competition isn&#8217;t real.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After there had been widespread speculation that Anthropic had surpassed OpenAI in revenue, OpenAI had told employees that this might not be the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53027,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1029],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Anthropic Is Overstating Its 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