{"id":54745,"date":"2025-08-08T00:07:14","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T18:37:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/?p=54745"},"modified":"2025-08-08T00:07:16","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T18:37:16","slug":"polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

GPT-5 might have topped all benchmarks<\/a>, but people seem to believe that this lead won’t even last a month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Polymarket flipped to showing Google as the top AI model at the end of August as GPT-5’s livestream <\/a>was ongoing. On the poll “which company has the best AI model end of August?”, OpenAI was leading with around 80% when GPT-5’s livestream began, and Google was languishing at second place at around 20%. But as the presentation went on, the results flipped — Polymarket now said that Google had an 80% chance of being the top AI model by the end of August, while OpenAI only had less than 20% chance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This seems to indicate that Polymarket wasn’t particularly impressed with GPT-5’s performance. People on the platform seemed to believe that while GPT-5 was the top model on most benchmarks as of 8th August, it was likely that Google would release a model before the end of the month which would go past GPT-5 in ability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This might be down to how close GPT-5 ended up being to other models on benchmarks. On Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index, GPT-5 with ‘max’ reasoning scored 69. This was just one higher than the 68 Grok 4 had managed, two higher than the 67 managed by 03 and o4-mini, and four higher than the 65 scored by Gemini 2.5 Pro. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"gpt-5<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Polymarket seems to believe that Google, which had released <\/a>Gemini 2.5 Pro five months ago in March, could soon release a model that could leapfrog the competition. It does seem likely that this could happen — Grok 4 was released<\/a> just last month, and GPT-5 was released today. It’s only Google in the list that’s due a new release, and people seem to believe that its latest iteration will be ahead of GPT-5 on the benchmarks. It remains to be seen if that happens — Google has been releasing impressive models like Genie<\/a> in recent times — but it appears that the collective intelligence of Polymarket believes that Google will again be on top within the next 23 days.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GPT-5 might have topped all benchmarks, but people seem to believe that this lead won’t even last a month. Polymarket flipped to showing…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":54746,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1029],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-54745","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai"],"yoast_head":"\nPolymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"GPT-5 might have topped all benchmarks, but people seem to believe that this lead won’t even last a month. Polymarket flipped to showing...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"OfficeChai\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/OfficeChai\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-07T18:37:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-07T18:37:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1198\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"680\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"OfficeChai Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@OfficeChai\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@OfficeChai\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"OfficeChai Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/\",\"name\":\"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-07T18:37:14+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-07T18:37:16+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/5861f1134993293cc28905de7624d6b2\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1\",\"width\":1198,\"height\":680,\"caption\":\"polymarket gpt-5 google flip\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/\",\"name\":\"OfficeChai\",\"description\":\"Startups, Businesses And Careers\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/5861f1134993293cc28905de7624d6b2\",\"name\":\"OfficeChai Team\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/61d744733248dc647d505d0676bb425323413132ee5447e86aa8eecbbb7b27d5?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/61d744733248dc647d505d0676bb425323413132ee5447e86aa8eecbbb7b27d5?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"OfficeChai Team\"},\"description\":\"Dotting the i's, crossing the t's.\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/officechai.com\/author\/admin\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August","og_description":"GPT-5 might have topped all benchmarks, but people seem to believe that this lead won’t even last a month. Polymarket flipped to showing...","og_url":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/","og_site_name":"OfficeChai","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/OfficeChai\/","article_published_time":"2025-08-07T18:37:14+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-08-07T18:37:16+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1198,"height":680,"url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"OfficeChai Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@OfficeChai","twitter_site":"@OfficeChai","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"OfficeChai Team","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/","url":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/","name":"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1","datePublished":"2025-08-07T18:37:14+00:00","dateModified":"2025-08-07T18:37:16+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/5861f1134993293cc28905de7624d6b2"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1","width":1198,"height":680,"caption":"polymarket gpt-5 google flip"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/ai\/polymarket-unimpressed-with-gpt-5-flips-to-saying-google-will-have-the-best-model-at-end-of-august\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Polymarket Unimpressed With GPT-5, Flips To Saying Google Will Have The Best Model At End Of August"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/","name":"OfficeChai","description":"Startups, Businesses And Careers","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/5861f1134993293cc28905de7624d6b2","name":"OfficeChai Team","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/61d744733248dc647d505d0676bb425323413132ee5447e86aa8eecbbb7b27d5?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/61d744733248dc647d505d0676bb425323413132ee5447e86aa8eecbbb7b27d5?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"OfficeChai Team"},"description":"Dotting the i's, crossing the t's.","url":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/author\/admin\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/officechai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-46.png?fit=1198%2C680&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p685C6-eeZ","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54745"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54747,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54745\/revisions\/54747"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54746"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54745"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/officechai.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}